Nomograms to predict progression of disease within 24 months in patients with localized natural killer/T-cell lymphoma

Aims: Progression of disease within 24 months (POD24) is associated with poor survival in some subtypes of lymphoma.The aim is to identify high-risk patients with localized extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTL) and to define clinical factors associated with the risk of early recurrence after antitumor treatment. Methods: The authors retrospectively analyzed 330 cases with localized ENKTL, of which 89 experienced POD24. Results: The 5-year overall survival of the POD24 group was extremely inferior to that of the non-POD24 group. Risk factors for POD24 were Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥2, response evaluation (non-complete remission) after first-line treatment and elevated lactate dehydrogenase concentrations. Also, higher Epstein-Barr virus DNA titer was related to POD24. Based on these data with or without the availability of Epstein-Barr virus DNA, the authors conducted two nomograms to predict POD24, which showed good accuracy with high C statistics. Conclusion: The results showed that POD24 could serve as a marker to identify patients whose medical needs were unmet in ENKTL.