Preoperative MRI-based multiparametric model for survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with portal vein tumor thrombus following hepatectomy

To develop a predictive model integrating clinical and MRI features for postoperative survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT).Between January 2008 and May 2021, consecutive HCC patients with PVTT who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI and surgical resection at a tertiary hospital were retrospectively enrolled. The MR images were independently reviewed by two blinded radiologists. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to construct a prognostic score for overall survival (OS).Ninety-four patients were included (mean age, 50.1 years; 84 men). During a median follow-up period of 15.3 months, 72 (76.6%) patients died (median OS, 15.4 months; median disease-free survival [DFS], 4.6 months). The sum size of the two largest tumors (hazard ratio [HR], 3.050; p < 0.001) and tumor growth subtype (HR, 1.928; p = 0.006) on MRI, serum albumin (HR, 0.948; p = 0.02), and age (HR, 0.978; p = 0.04) were associated with OS and incorporated in the prognostic score. Accordingly, patients were stratified into a high-risk or low-risk group, and the OS in the high-risk group was shorter than that in the low-risk group for the entire cohort (11.7 vs. 25.0 months, p < 0.001) and for patients with Cheng's type I (12.1 vs. 25.9 months, p = 0.002) and type II PVTT (11.7 vs. 25.0 months, p = 0.004). The DFS in the high-risk group was shorter than that in the low-risk group for the entire cohort (4.5 vs. 6.1 months, p = 0.001).Based on the sum size of the two largest tumors, tumor growth subtype, albumin, and age, the prognostic score allowed accurate preoperative risk stratification in HCC patients with PVTT, independent of Cheng's PVTT classification.