CVAR公司
预期短缺
数字加密货币
文件夹
投资组合优化
风险度量
经济
尾部风险
强化学习
风险价值
计量经济学
股票市场
金融市场
风险管理
计算机科学
金融经济学
人工智能
财务
背景(考古学)
计算机安全
古生物学
生物
作者
Tianxiang Cui,Shusheng Ding,Huan Jin,Yongmin Zhang
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2022.106078
摘要
Cryptocurrency markets have much larger tail risk than traditional financial markets, and constructing portfolios with such large tail risk assets would be challenging. Therefore, cryptocurrency funds demand new superior risk management models and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prevailing risk measure for constructing portfolios in stock markets with large tail risk. Consequently, our paper contributes to the literature by developing a new cryptocurrency portfolio model framework based on the CVaR risk measure and a deep reinforcement learning optimization framework. We use the data from cryptocurrency market starting 2015 to 2021, unfolding that CVaR measure with deep learning outperforms the traditional portfolio construction technique. Compared with traditional economic parameter-based portfolio models, our model free based approach can capture the nonlinear compounding effect of multiple risk shocks by deep reinforcement learning on the risk distribution with economic structural breakdown. It can guide investments in financial markets with high tail risks.
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