ToxTeller: Predicting Peptide Toxicity Using Four Different Machine Learning Approaches

Examining the toxicity of peptides is essential for therapeutic peptide-based drug design. Machine learning approaches are frequently used to develop highly accurate predictors for peptide toxicity prediction. In this paper, we present ToxTeller, which provides four predictors using logistic regression, support vector machines, random forests, and XGBoost, respectively. For prediction model development, we construct a data set of toxic and nontoxic peptides from SwissProt and ConoServer databases with existence evidence levels checked. We also fully utilize the protein annotation in SwissProt to collect more toxic peptides than using keyword search alone. From this data set, we construct an independent test data set that shares at most 40% sequence similarity within itself and with the training data set. From a quite comprehensive list of 28 feature combinations, we conduct 10-fold cross-validation on the training data set to determine the optimized feature combination for model development. ToxTeller's performance is evaluated and compared with existing predictors on the independent test data set. Since toxic peptides must be avoided for drug design, we analyze strategies for reducing false-negative predictions of toxic peptides and suggest selecting models by top sensitivity instead of the widely used Matthews correlation coefficient, and also suggest using a meta-predictor approach with multiple predictors.