Rapid prototyping of multi-compartment models for urea kinetics in hemodialysis: a System Dynamics approach

Abstract Models of urea kinetics facilitate a mechanistic understanding of urea transfer and provide a tool for optimizing dialysis efficacy. Dual-compartment models have largely replaced single-compartment models as they are able to accommodate the urea rebound on the cessation of dialysis. Modeling the kinetics of urea and other molecular species is frequently regarded as a rarefied academic exercise with little relevance at the bedside. We demonstrate the utility of System Dynamics in creating multi-compartment models of urea kinetics by developing a dual-compartment model that is efficient, intuitive, and widely accessible to a range of practitioners. Notwithstanding its simplicity, we show that the System Dynamics model compares favorably with the performance of a more complex volume-average model in terms of calibration to clinical data and parameter estimation. Its intuitive nature, ease of development/modification, and excellent performance with real-world data may make System Dynamics an invaluable tool in widening the accessibility of hemodialysis modeling.