风险厌恶(心理学)
供应链
业务
利润(经济学)
营销
风险感知
风险管理
偏爱
微观经济学
差异(会计)
期望效用假设
精算学
经济
财务
金融经济学
感知
神经科学
会计
生物
作者
Zhao Zhao,Zheng Liu,Qingshan Qian,Lingling Li,Yuanjun Zhao,Yuqing Zhu
摘要
The risk attitude of decision-makers will significantly affect the decision-making of enterprise risk management. Specifically, high risk represents the potential premise of high return for risk preference decision-makers, and for risk-averse decision-makers, the increase of risk degree will stimulate decision-makers’ aversion to uncertainty and turn to seek safer business strategies. Although there are many pieces of literature on the risk preference of decision-makers, they usually only assume the risk attitude of one party and rarely consider the risk attitude of suppliers and retailers in the scenario of cross-border e-commerce at the same time. Therefore, under the background of supply disruption, for the cross-border e-commerce supply chain composed of cross-border suppliers, overseas suppliers, overseas retailers, and consumers, combined with the risk attitude preference of enterprise subjects, this paper constructs the mean-variance model dominated by overseas retailers and reversely solves the risk-aversion attitude of a single cross-border supplier. When a single overseas retailer maintains a risk-aversion attitude and both cross-border suppliers and overseas retailers hold a risk-neutral or risk-aversion attitude, the pricing of products in different channels is analyzed. Finally, an example is given to analyze the impact of supply disruption probability, risk-aversion coefficient, channel distribution coefficient, and other parameters on purchase price, market demand, target profit, and utility. It is of great practical significance for improving the stability of cross-border e-commerce supply chain system and reducing revenue loss to study how different degrees of risk-aversion attitudes of cross-border suppliers and overseas retailers affect enterprise procurement pricing strategy, target profit, and utility in case of supply disruption.
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