Radical surgical resection with molecular margins is associated with improved survival in IDH wildtype GBM

Survival is variable in patients with glioblastoma IDH wild-type (GBM), even after comparable surgical resection of radiographically-detectable disease, highlighting the limitations of radiographic assessment of infiltrative tumor anatomy. The majority of post-surgical progressive events are failures within 2cm of the resection margin, motivating supramaximal resection strategies to improve local control. However, which patients benefit from such radical resections remains unknown.We developed a predictive model to identify which IDH wild-type GBM are amenable to radiographic gross total resection (GTR). We then investigated whether GBM survival heterogeneity following GTR is correlated with microscopic tumor burden a by analyzing tumor cell content at the surgical margin with a rapid qPCR-based method for detection of TERT promoter mutation.Our predictive model for achievable GTR, developed on retrospective radiographic and molecular data of GBM patients undergoing resection, had an AUC of 0.83, sensitivity of 62%, and specificity of 90%. Prospective analysis of this model in 44 patients found 89% of patients were correctly predicted to achieve a RV<4.9cc. Of the 44 prospective patients undergoing rapid qPCR TERT promoter mutation analysis at the surgical margin, 7 had undetectable TERT mutation, of which 5 also had a gross total resection (RV<1cc). In these 5 patients at 30 months follow up, 75% showed no progression, compared to 0% in the group with TERT mutations detected at the surgical margin (p=0.02).These findings identify a subset of patients with GBM that may derive local control benefit from radical resection to undetectable molecular margins.