Assessment of Ki-67 proliferation index in prognosis prediction in patients with nonmetastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma and tumor thrombus

To determine the optimal cut-off value of Ki-67 for predicting the survival of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) and tumor thrombus and to explore the correlation between Ki-67 expression and pathological features. We retrospectively analyzed Ki-67 immunohistochemical staining of ccRCC and tumor thrombus resected from February 2006 to February 2022. The survival rate was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The optimal cut-off value of the Ki-67 expression for predicting survival was determined by the minimum P-value method. Clinicopathological data were compared based on Ki-67 status (low versus high expression). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to explore independent predictors. A total of 202 patients (median age, 58 years [IQR, 52–65 years], 147 men) with ccRCC and tumor thrombus were included in the study. The optimal cut-off value of Ki-67 for predicting survival was 30%. 159 (78.7%) and 43 (21.3%) patients were included in the low-expression and high-expression groups. Patients with Ki-67 high expression had significantly worse recurrence-free survival (P < 0.001) and cancer-specific survival (P < 0.001). Ki-67 high expression was associated with adverse pathological features, including tumor necrosis, ISUP nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, perirenal fat invasion, renal pelvis invasion, and inferior vena cava wall invasion (all P < 0.050). Ki-67 expression ≥ 30% (P = 0.016), tumor side (P = 0.003), diabetes (P = 0.040), blood loss (P = 0.016), inferior vena cava wall invasion (P = 0.016), and sarcomatoid differentiation (P = 0.014) were independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. The optimal cut-off level of Ki-67 in predicting the prognosis of ccRCC and tumor thrombus was 30%. The high expression of Ki-67 was associated with the aggressive pathological phenotype and poor prognosis.