数学
独特性
理论(学习稳定性)
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)
大流行
基本再生数
庞特里亚金最小原理
流行病模型
应用数学
数学优化
传输(电信)
最优控制
控制理论(社会学)
控制(管理)
计算机科学
医学
数学分析
人口
电信
疾病
环境卫生
病理
机器学习
传染病(医学专业)
人工智能
作者
Weiyuan Ma,Nuri Ma,Changping Dai,YangQuan Chen,Xinwei Wang
摘要
As the COVID‐19 continues to mutate, the number of infected people is increasing dramatically, and the vaccine is not enough to fight the mutated strain. In this paper, a SEIR‐type fractional model with reinfection and vaccine inefficacy is proposed, which can successfully capture the mutated COVID‐19 pandemic. The existence, uniqueness, boundedness, and nonnegativeness of the fractional model are derived. Based on the basic reproduction number , locally stability and globally stability are analyzed. The sensitivity analysis evaluate the influence of each parameter on the and rank key epidemiological parameters. Finally, the necessary conditions for implementing fractional optimal control are obtained by Pontryagin's maximum principle, and the corresponding optimal solutions are derived for mitigation COVID‐19 transmission. The numerical results show that humans will coexist with COVID‐19 for a long time under the current control strategy. Furthermore, it is particularly important to develop new vaccines with higher protection rates.
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