电动汽车
背景(考古学)
计算机科学
基线(sea)
电
能源消耗
相互依存
能量(信号处理)
网格
接头(建筑物)
功率(物理)
电力需求
智能电网
充电站
人工智能
理论(学习稳定性)
需求预测
需求响应
消费(社会学)
车辆动力学
数据建模
机器学习
模拟
电力系统
高效能源利用
概率预测
汽车工程
联合概率分布
实时计算
功率消耗
能源管理
电力
预测建模
能源需求
荷载剖面图
作者
Jialing He,Jia Tang,Ning Wang,Zhiwei Deng,Tao Xiang
标识
DOI:10.1109/tsg.2025.3641983
摘要
The rapid adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is transforming the transportation sector, but it also presents significant challenges to power systems, particularly in the context of dynamic and fluctuating electricity demand for EV charging. Accurate short-term forecasting of EV charging demand, including both the number of EVs at charging stations (EV count) and the energy consumption required for charging, is critical to managing grid stability and efficiency. Traditional forecasting models treat these two tasks independently, failing to capture the inherent interdependencies between them. To address this, we propose a Multi-Task Learning (MTL) framework that jointly predicts EV count and energy consumption. By leveraging shared representations across these tasks, the MTL model improves forecasting accuracy and overcomes the limitations of single-task models. We further enhance the model by incorporating additional spatiotemporal features to capture the cyclical and geographical nature of EV charging demand. Extensive experiments across six real-world datasets and multiple model backbones demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms baseline methods. For instance, on the JPL dataset, applying MTL to the LSTM model reduces the energy prediction RMSE by 46.96%, MAE by 64.18%, and improves CORR by 69.21% compared to its single-task counterpart.
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