Permanent vs Transient Congenital Hypothyroidism in Chinese Children: Physical Growth and Predictive Nomogram

Abstract Context Few reliable markers are available to distinguish transient congenital hypothyroidism (TCH) and permanent congenital hypothyroidism (PCH). Additionally, the differences in growth between TCH and PCH remain unclear. Objective To investigate the growth of children with TCH and PCH and develop a nomogram for early differentiation of these forms. Methods This retrospective study included children with TCH or PCH. The predictive efficacy of the prognostic predictors was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Multivariate prediction models were developed. Measurements of growth were compared between groups. Results Patients with TCH had lower initial thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) than those with PCH at newborn screening (NBS). The supplementary dose of levothyroxine (L-T4) gradually decreased with age in TCH but not in PCH. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the initial TSH, L-T4 dose at 1 year of age, and L-T4 dose at 2 years of age for distinguishing TCH from PCH were 0.698, 0.71, and 0.879, respectively. The predictive efficacy of the multivariate models at 1 and 2 years of age improved, with AUC values of 0.752 and 0.922, respectively. A nomogram was built based on the multivariate model at 1 year of age. The growth did not differ between children with TCH and those with PCH. However, at 1 year of age, girls with CH exhibited higher z-scores in terms of height and weight than boys with CH. Conclusion TSH at NBS and L-T4 doses during treatment can be used to distinguish between PCH and TCH early in life, and the predictive efficacy can be improved using multivariable models with a visualized nomogram. At 3 years of age, patients with TCH and PCH showed similar growth.