Predictors of mortality in patients with intermediate risk pulmonary embolism

Abstract Introduction Information about treatment and outcome of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) intermediate risk remains limited. Little is known about the benefits of reperfusion therapy in patients with intermediate risk PE and evidence of right ventricular dysfunction. Objective To evaluate clinical outcomes and predictors of mortality in patients admitted to ICU with pulmonary embolism and intermediate risk. Methods In a prospective single-center study 103 normotensive patients with an established diagnosis of pulmonary embolism confirmed by pulmonary CT were included. All patients met intermediate risk criteria according to the European Society of Cardiology guidelines (ESC 2019) for pulmonary embolism using severity index [PESI] with signs of right ventricular dysfunction and elevated cardiac biomarkers. The average age of patients was 67.6 years (95% CI, 65.1–70.5), 42 (41%) of them were men. Thrombolysis with standard dose of alteplase was performed in 54 (52%) patients. CT scan and echocardiography were done for all patients. Results Outcome data were collected for all patients through the 30-day and 180-day follow-up. During 30 days follow up 14 patients died (13,6%, 95% CI, 6,9–20%). The all-cause mortality rate after 180 days was 22,2% (95% CI, 13,5–31%) - 22 patient. In the thrombolysis group only 2 patients died after 180-day follow-up, mortality rate was 4,4% (95% CI, 1,7–10,6%), the mortality rate in patients not treated by thrombolysis was 40% (95% CI, 25,3–54,7%). Thrombolysis was associated with a significant decrease in mortality [OR 0.07 (95% CI, 0.01–0.31)]. In the thrombolysis group 2 patients (4.1%; 95% CI, 1.1–10%) had a non-fatal major bleeding event. The presence of chronic heart failure [OR 6 (95% CI, 1.8–20.2)] and previous stroke [OR 4.3 (95% CI, 0.9–21.1)] were higher among non-survivors when compared to survivors (p≤0.05). TAPSE less than 16 mm was found to be negatively associated with survival [OR 5.5 (95% CI, 0.9–40.3)], p=0.02. Conclusion In our study thrombolysis in patients with pulmonary embolism and intermediate-risk was associated with improved prognosis. Predictors of mortality were the presence of CHF, previous stroke and TAPSE of less than 16 mm. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Kaplan-Meier mortality curves. p<0.05