Dosimetric predictors of radiation pneumonitis in patients with prior immunotherapy exposure: A multi-institutional analysis

Background and purpose Combining immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and thoracic radiotherapy (TRT) may magnify the radiation pneumonitis (RP) risk. Dosimetric parameters can predict RP, but dosimetric data in context of immunotherapy are very scarce. To address this knowledge gap, we performed a large multicenter investigation to identify dosimetric predictors of RP in this under-studied population. Materials and methods All lung cancer patients from five institutions who underwent conventionally-fractionated thoracic intensity-modulated radiotherapy with prior ICI receipt were retrospectively compiled. RP was defined per CTCAE v5.0. Statistics utilized logistic regression modeling and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results The vast majority of the 192 patients (median follow-up 14.7 months) had non-small cell lung cancer, received PD-1 inhibitors, and did not receive concurrent systemic therapy with TRT. Grades 1–5 RP occurred in 21.9%, 25.0%, 8.3%, 1.6%, and 1.0%, respectively. The mean MLD for patients with grades 1–5 RP was 10.7, 11.6, 12.6, 14.7, and 12.8 Gy, respectively. On multivariable analysis, tumor location and mean lung dose (MLD) significantly predicted for any-grade and grade ≥ 2 pneumonitis. Only MLD significantly predicted for grade ≥ 3 RP. ROC analysis was able to pictorially model RP risk probabilities for a variety of MLD thresholds, which can be an assistive tool during TRT treatment planning. Conclusion This study, by far the largest to date of dosimetric predictors of RP in the immunotherapy era, illustrates that MLD is the most critical dose-volume parameter influencing RP risk. These data may provide a basis for revising lung dose constraints in efforts to better prevent RP in this rapidly expanding ICI/TRT population.