Assessing the effects of meteorological factors on daily children's respiratory disease hospitalizations: A retrospective study

医学 相对湿度 混淆 分布滞后 呼吸系统 呼吸道 风速 呼吸道感染 表观温度 呼吸道疾病 气象学 内科学 地理 数学 计量经济学
作者
Wenfang Guo,Le-Tai Yi,Peng Wang,Baojun Wang,Min-Hui Li
出处
期刊:Heliyon [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:6 (8): e04657-e04657 被引量:5
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04657
摘要

Respiratory disease symptoms in children are aggravated by frequent changes in meteorological conditions. The net effective temperature (NET) integrates temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed as a cooling indicator. This study aims to assess the effect of daily changes in meteorological factors and corresponding NET data on children's hospitalizations for different ages, genders and subtypes of respiratory infections in Baotou, China. Distributed lag non-linear models were constructed to simultaneously assess the exposure–response associations between daily admission counts of children with respiratory diseases and daily NET and other meteorological factors, as well as their lag dependencies. As air pollution significantly affects the respiratory tract, it was considered as confounding factor. In general, the cumulative meteorological factors had greater effects on lower respiratory tract infections than upper respiratory tract infections (RR: temperature [5.21 vs. 2.33], wind speed [4.89 vs. 3.12], and humidity [1.77 vs. 0.97]). The effects of cumulative meteorological factors on female children were greater than those on male children (RR: temperature [2.14 vs. 1.82], wind speed [5.46 vs. 1.90], and humidity [1.60 vs. 1.55]). Temperature and wind speed showed an influence on 4–7-year-old children, but these factors had no influence on other age groups; humidity only showed an influence on the 0–3-year-old group. The NET value had a large effect on lower respiratory infections, in the 4–7-year-old group and female children. In conclusion, a complex non-linear relationship exists between climate variability and children's respiratory diseases. The results of the study can be used to support the development of important meteorological information tools for early warnings of respiratory disease events in children. Concurrently, the NET values can be used for comprehensive assessments of climate change in the future, which will help the government and health authorities better minimize the impacts of children's respiratory diseases.

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