Combined baseline HBcrAg and end-of-treatment HBsAg predict HBV relapse after entecavir or tenofovir cessation

Abstract Background For patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), the optimal stopping criteria for entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate treatment remain unclear. Methods This study recruited CHB patients with levels of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) <100 IU/mL at the end of treatment (EOT) from Kaohsiung (n = 190) and Linkou (n = 188) Chang Gung Memorial Hospitals for use as development and validation groups, respectively. Results In the development group, 108 patients with HBsAg ≤40 IU/mL were used for analysis of predictors of HBV relapse and HBsAg loss. Multivariate analysis showed that age, nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-experienced status, baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) and HBsAg at EOT were associated independently with virological and clinical relapse. An HBsAg level of 20 IU/mL at EOT was the best cut-off value for minimizing HBV relapse. Patients with EOT HBsAg ≤20 IU/mL had lower virological and clinical relapse rates and higher HBsAg loss rates than those with EOT HBsAg 21–40 IU/mL and HBsAg 41–100 IU/mL in the development and validation groups. The virological and clinical relapse rates were very low (5-year rates: 6.5% and 0%, respectively) and HBsAg loss rate was very high (5-year rate: 81.7%) in patients with a combination of baseline HBcrAg ≤4 log U/mL and EOT HBsAg ≤20 IU/mL in the development group. Conclusions A combination of baseline HBcrAg ≤4 log U/mL and EOT HBsAg level ≤20 IU/mL might reduce the risk of HBV relapse and increase HBsAg loss rate, and might be helpful for off-NA follow-up strategy.