Seasonal Varied Responses of Block-Scale Land Surface Temperature to Multidimensional Urban Canopy Morphology Interpreted by SHAP Approach

Rising urban temperatures have become a critical constraint to urban ecosystem resilience and livability due to rapid urbanization. This study proposes a novel intra-city zoning scheme, named component morphological blocks (CMBs), which classifies built-up areas into six types characterized by multidimensional urban canopy morphologies. The XGBoost-SHAP model, optimized via Bayesian tuning, was employed to examine the relative contributions of 16 potential driving variables to block-scale land surface temperature (LST). The results show that: (1) LST gradually increases with increasing building density in the warm seasons. The average building height (BH) exhibits a positive correlation with shaded area, thereby reducing LST on the block scale; (2) hotspots are mainly concentrated in function-oriented blocks with hotspot distribution indices of 1.85, 1.96, 1.24, and 1.14, respectively. Coldspots are largely observed in blue–green space in the warm seasons; (3) BH dominates the LST across seasons, while the building-related factors make a prominent impact on LST in warm seasons. The contribution of vegetation canopy density is followed by BH during autumn and winter (12.2%, 10.9%); (4) a distinct transition occurs between summer normalized difference built-up index (NDBI) and fractional vegetation cover around an NDBI of 0.1. In winter, the interaction between 2D and 3D vegetation factors indicates a shift in their relative contributions from negative to positive as they increase. This study demonstrates that CMBs serve as an effective choice for characterizing LST patterns at the block scale, providing insights for sustainable urban development aimed at mitigating the urban heat island effect.