医学
逻辑回归
人口学
民族
队列
折射误差
年轻人
贝叶斯多元线性回归
队列研究
线性回归
眼科
老年学
眼病
内科学
社会学
人类学
机器学习
计算机科学
作者
Li Lian Foo,Chuen-Seng Tan,Brennan Noel,Hla Myint Htoon,Raymond P. Najjar,Biten K. Kathrani,Charumathi Sabanayagam,Seang‐Mei Saw
标识
DOI:10.1136/bjo-2023-323680
摘要
Purpose To evaluate factors influencing stabilisation of myopia in the Singapore Cohort of Risk factors for Myopia. Methods We evaluated the longitudinal natural history of 424 myopic participants from 1999 to 2022. The outcome was the change in myopia from the adolescence follow-up visit (aged 12–19 years) to the adulthood follow-up visit (aged 26–33 years). Association of predictive factors, including baseline spherical error, gender, ethnicity, parental myopia, time outdoor, near work and age at adolescence, was examined with the dichotomous outcome of adult myopia progression (≤ −1.00 dioptres (D) over 10 years) using multiple logistic regression and progression in linear regression models. Results For the primary outcome, the mean rate of progression of the outcome was found to be −0.04±0.09 D per year from the adolescent to the adulthood follow-up visits. 82.3% (95% CI 78.3% to 85.8%) had myopia stabilisation, with progression of less than 1.00 D over 10 years while 61.3% (95% CI 56.5% to 66.0%) of the subjects had progression of less than 0.50 D. In logistic regression models, both male gender (p=0.035) and non-Chinese ethnicity (p=0.032) were more likely to achieve myopia stabilisation while in linear multivariate regression models, males had a significantly slower degree of myopia progression (p=0.021). Conclusion 5 in 6 Singaporean young adults had myopia stabilisation. Male gender is 2 times and non-Chinese ethnicities are 2.5 times more likely to achieve myopia stabilisation. However, a proportion of myopes continue to exhibit a clinically significant degree of progression in adulthood.
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