温室气体
全球变暖
环境科学
气候变化
失控的气候变化
气候学
自然(考古学)
气候承诺
大气科学
自然资源经济学
全球变暖的影响
生态学
地理
经济
地质学
考古
生物
作者
Jingyun Fang,Jiangling Zhu,Shaopeng Wang,Chao Yue,Haihua Shen
标识
DOI:10.1007/s11430-011-4292-0
摘要
In recent decades, there have been a number of debates on climate warming and its driving forces. Based on an extensive literature review, we suggest that (1) climate warming occurs with great uncertainty in the magnitude of the temperature increase; (2) both human activities and natural forces contribute to climate change, but their relative contributions are difficult to quantify; and (3) the dominant role of the increase in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (including CO2) in the global warming claimed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is questioned by the scientific communities because of large uncertainties in the mechanisms of natural factors and anthropogenic activities and in the sources of the increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. More efforts should be made in order to clarify these uncertainties.
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