Optimal cut-off values of haematoma volume for predicting haematoma expansion at different intracerebral haemorrhage locations

Haematoma expansion (HE) is a frequent manifestation of acute intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) and is associated with early disease progression and poor functional status. Approximately 30 % of patients with ICH experience substantial HE within the first few hours of onset. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between HE and initial volume at different locations in patients with ICH. We investigated consecutive patients with ICH admitted to the emergency room at Xiangyang No. 1 People’s Hospital between January 2018 and June 2022. Haematoma volume was calculated using a three-dimensional slicer platform. Prediction models were assessed using a logistic regression model. The Youden index was used to assess the haematoma volume cut-off values for predicting HE. This study included 306 patients: 161 had basal ganglia ICH, 41 lobar ICH, and 104 thalamic ICH. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the thalamic ICH score in predicting intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) expansion ≥ 1 mL or delayed IVH expansion was 0.786, and the best cut-off value was 7.05 mL (specificity, 85.3 %; sensitivity, 62.8 %; and accuracy, 76.0 %). The AUC for the thalamic ICH and lobar ICH scores in predicting haematoma or IVH expansion were 0.756 and 0.653, respectively; the best cut-offs were 7.05 mL for the thalamus (specificity, 84.8 %; sensitivity, 60.0 %; and accuracy, 74.0 %) and 31.89 mL in the lobar area (specificity, 81.8 %; sensitivity, 52.3 %; and accuracy, 68.3 %). Initial ICH volume predicted haematoma or IVH expansion at different locations. Moreover, it can assist clinicians in determining whether patients are suitable for future surgical interventions or other procedures.