风力发电
生命周期成本分析
经济评价
可靠性(半导体)
宏
经济指标
过程(计算)
经济分析
环境经济学
工程类
经济影响分析
可靠性工程
运筹学
计算机科学
功率(物理)
经济
土木工程
电气工程
物理
宏观经济学
操作系统
微观经济学
程序设计语言
量子力学
农业经济学
作者
Junbo Liu,Dongran Song,Qing’an Li,Jian Yang,Yang Hu,Fang Fang,Young Hoon Joo
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.enconman.2022.116628
摘要
During the past decade, wind power generation has been rapidly developed. As a key component of feasibility analysis, the cost modelling and economic analysis directly affect the construction of wind power projects. This review attempts to explain the whole life cycle composition, economic analysis method and cost modelling process of wind power from a macro perspective, and summarizes the differences in cost composition and modelling among different types of wind farms and the applicability of different economic analysis methods and evaluation indicators. During this process, the relationship between life cycle and investment is explored, as well as the potential ways to improve the accuracy and reliability of life cycle economic assessment from the aspects of uncertainty analysis and prediction algorithm application. On this basis, some discussions are made on the prospect and potential improvements of whole life cycle cost modelling and economic analysis of wind power under the development trend of large-scale units, high-altitude and deep-sea construction. Furthermore, comparisons are made in terms of the modelling methods, evaluation indicators, uncertainty analysis methods and prediction methods, which could guide the selection of relevant methods and indicators in the process of economic analysis of wind power projects. Finally, some suggestions on achieving accurate and reliable economic evaluation of wind power in different regions and environments are given, providing reference value for improving economic efficiency of wind farms.
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