Prediction of ovarian cancer prognosis using statistical radiomic features of ultrasound images

Abstract Objective . Ovarian cancer is the deadliest gynecologic malignancy worldwide. Ultrasound is the most useful non-invasive test for preoperative diagnosis of ovarian cancer. In this study, by leveraging multiple ultrasound images from the same patient to generate personalized, informative statistical radiomic features, we aimed to develop improved ultrasound image-based prognostic models for ovarian cancer. Approach . A total of 2057 ultrasound images from 514 ovarian cancer patients, including 355 patients with epithelial ovarian cancer, from two hospitals in China were collected for this study. The models were constructed using our recently developed Frequency Appearance in Multiple Univariate pre-Screening feature selection algorithm and Cox proportional hazards model. Main results . The models showed high predictive performance for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in both epithelial and nonepithelial ovarian cancer, with concordance indices ranging from 0.773 to 0.794. Radiomic scores predicted 2 year OS and RFS risk groups with significant survival differences (log-rank test, P < 1.0 × 10 −4 for both validation cohorts). OS and RFS hazard ratios between low- and high-risk groups were 15.994 and 30.692 (internal cohort) and 19.339 and 19.760 (external cohort), respectively. The improved performance of these newly developed prognostic models was mainly attributed to the use of multiple preoperative ultrasound images from the same patient to generate statistical radiomic features, rather than simply using the largest tumor region of interest among them. The models also revealed that the roundness of tumor lesion shape was positively correlated with prognosis for ovarian cancer. Significance. The newly developed prognostic models based on statistical radiomic features from ultrasound images were highly predictive of the risk of cancer-related death and possible recurrence not only for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer but also for those with nonepithelial ovarian cancer. They thereby provide reliable, non-invasive markers for individualized prognosis evaluation and clinical decision-making for patients with ovarian cancer.