A Scoring Model with Simple Clinical Parameters to Predict Successful Discontinuation of Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy

Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is the standard treatment for severe acute kidney injury in critically ill patients. However, a practical consensus for discontinuing CRRT is lacking. We aimed to develop a prediction model with simple clinical parameters for successful discontinuation of CRRT.Adult patients who received CRRT at Samsung Medical Center from 2007 to 2017 were included. Patients with preexisting ESRD and patients who progressed to ESRD within 1 year or died within 7 days after CRRT were excluded. Successful discontinuation of CRRT was defined as no requirement for renal replacement therapy for 7 days after discontinuing CRRT. Patients were assigned to either a success group or failure group according to whether discontinuation of CRRT was successful or not.A total of 1,158 patients were included in the final analyses. The success group showed greater urine output on the day before CRRT discontinuation (D-1) and the discontinuation day (D0). Multivariable analysis identified that urine output ≥300 mL on D-1, and mean arterial pressure 50∼78 mm Hg, serum potassium <4.1 mmol/L, and BUN <35 mg/dL (12.5 mmol/L) on D0 were predictive factors for successful discontinuation of CRRT. A scoring system using the 4 variables above (area under the receiver operating curve: 0.731) was developed.Scoring system composed of urine output ≥300 mL/day on D-1, and adequate blood pressure, serum potassium <4.1 mmol/L, and BUN <35 mg/dL (12.5 mmol/L) on D0 was developed to predict successful discontinuation of CRRT.