风险分析(工程)
模糊逻辑
风险管理
灵活性(工程)
相互依存
钥匙(锁)
风险评估
模糊集
计算机科学
稳健性(进化)
领域(数学)
德尔菲法
质量(理念)
管理科学
德尔菲
秩(图论)
工程类
模糊性
作者
Amirhossein Karamoozian,Zhou He,Chao Luo
标识
DOI:10.1108/ecam-03-2025-0439
摘要
Purpose This study aims to develop a fuzzy risk assessment model tailored to the adoption of offsite construction (OSC) in China, addressing the complexities and uncertainties associated with risk management in the construction sector. The model evaluates key risk factors, integrates expert opinions, and employs fuzzy decision-making techniques to improve the decision-making process. Design/methodology/approach The research combines Interval-Valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy (IVIF)-DEMATEL with the Choquet Integral and IF-TOPSIS to assess and rank adoption risk factors (ARFs) in OSC. The Delphi method is employed for identifying potential risks, while the fuzzy approach accommodates the imprecision and subjectivity inherent in expert opinions. The IVIF-DEMATEL and IF-TOPSIS methods are integrated to assess relationships between risks and prioritize them accordingly. Findings The study reveals key ARFs impacting OSC adoption in China and identifies interdependencies among these factors. The proposed model outperforms existing approaches by providing more reliable risk evaluations, particularly in managing supply chain, logistics, quality control, and regulatory compliance risks. The case study emphasizes the robustness and flexibility of the model. Originality/value This research contributes to the field by introducing a novel fuzzy risk assessment model for OSC adoption, emphasizing the integration of expert opinions and the interconnection of adoption risks. It provides a comprehensive framework for better decision-making and risk management in the construction industry, offering insights into overcoming barriers to OSC in China.
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