光伏系统
断层(地质)
计算机科学
人工智能
可靠性工程
机器学习
工程类
电气工程
地质学
地震学
作者
Qiheng Li,Yubo Cui,Jingyu Zhang,Yandong Liu,Li Zhang
出处
期刊:Applied science and innovative research
[Scholink Co, Ltd.]
日期:2024-10-31
卷期号:8 (4): p92-p92
标识
DOI:10.22158/asir.v8n4p92
摘要
Based on the urban natural gas pipeline accident statistics and semi-quantitative risk evaluation index system, this paper applies Bayesian network to establish a network model between various types of risk factors and the risk of natural gas pipeline failure. The EM algorithm was used to learn from the statistical accident data to obtain the parameters of the model. Based on the principle of evidential reasoning in reverse, the probability of occurrence of all risk indicators can be obtained when the probability of occurrence of urban natural gas pipeline accidents is 100%, the index weight is obtained by normalizing the occurrence probability. On this basis, this paper develops an efficient urban natural gas pipeline integrity risk identification and management software. The software can realize the basic data management of urban natural gas pipeline system, pipeline relative risk value calculation, pipeline risk level calculation and other functions, and the results are visualized. Finally, the practicability and effectiveness of the model and software are verified by a case of natural gas pipeline evaluation in a block.
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