预期短缺
风险价值
计量经济学
风险度量
多元统计
度量(数据仓库)
尾部风险
计算机科学
数学
经济
统计
风险管理
金融经济学
数据挖掘
财务
文件夹
作者
Robert Löser,Dominik Wied,Daniel Ziggel
标识
DOI:10.21314/jor.2019.406
摘要
While value-at-risk has been the standard risk measure for a long time, expected shortfall (ES) has become more and more popular in recent times, as it provides important information about tail risk. We present a new backtest for the unconditional coverage property of the ES. The test is based on the so-called cumulative violation process, and its main advantage is that the distribution is known for finite out-of-sample size. This leads to better size and power properties compared with existing tests. Moreover, we extend the test principle to a multivariate test and analyze its behavior via simulations and an application to bank returns.
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