High Rates of Osteoarthritis Develop After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Surgery: An Analysis of 4108 Patients

Background: Posttraumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction ultimately translates into a large economic effect on the health care system owing to the young ages of this population. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purposes were to perform a meta-analysis to determine the prevalence of osteoarthritis after an ACL reconstruction, examining the effects of length of time after surgery, preoperative time interval from injury to surgery, and patient age at the time of surgery. It was hypothesized that the prevalence of PTOA increased with time from surgery and that increased time from injury to surgery and age were also risk factors for the development of PTOA. Study Design: Meta-analysis. Methods: A meta-analysis of the prevalence of radiographic PTOA after ACL reconstruction was performed of studies with a minimum of 5 years’ follow-up, with a level of evidence of 1, 2, or 3. The presence of osteoarthritis was defined according to knee radiographs evaluated with classification based on Kellgren and Lawrence, Ahlbäck, International Knee Documentation Committee, or the Osteoarthritis Research Society International. Metaregression models quantified the relationship between radiographic PTOA prevalence and the mean time from injury to surgery, mean patient age at time of surgery, and mean postoperative follow-up time. Results: Thirty-eight studies (4108 patients) were included. Longer postsurgical follow-up time was significantly positively associated with a higher proportion of PTOA development. The model-estimated proportion of PTOA (95% CI) at 5, 10, and 20 years after surgery was 11.3% (6.4%-19.1%), 20.6% (14.9%-27.7%), and 51.6% (29.1%-73.5%), respectively. Increased chronicity of the ACL tear before surgery and increased patient age were also associated with a higher likelihood of PTOA development. Conclusion: The prevalence of osteoarthritis after an ACL reconstruction significantly increased with time. Longer chronicity of ACL tear and older age at the time of surgery were significantly positively correlated with the development of osteoarthritis. A timely referral and treatment of symptomatic patients are vital to diminish the occurrence of PTOA.