预期寿命
危险系数
期望理论
比例危险模型
生存分析
统计
危害
医学
数学
心理学
置信区间
化学
环境卫生
社会心理学
有机化学
人口
作者
Hakim‐Moulay Dehbi,Patrick Royston,Allan Hackshaw
出处
期刊:BMJ
[BMJ]
日期:2017-05-25
卷期号:: j2250-j2250
被引量:91
摘要
The hazard ratio (HR) is the most common measure of treatment effect in clinical trials that use time-to-event outcomes such as survival. When survival curves cross over or separate only after a considerable time, the proportional hazards assumption of the Cox model is violated, and HR can be misleading. We present two measures of treatment effects for situations where the HR changes over time: the life expectancy difference (LED) and life expectancy ratio (LER). LED is the difference between mean survival times in the intervention and control arms. LER is the ratio of these two times. LED and LER can be calculated for at least two time intervals during the trial, allowing for curves where the treatment effect changes over time. The two measures are readily interpretable as absolute and relative gains or losses in life expectancy.
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