Serial lung mass volume ratios as prognostic indicators of neonatal respiratory morbidity in fetal pulmonary malformations

Several studies have shown that the congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio is a useful prognosticator of neonatal outcome in prenatally diagnosed lung lesions. However, there remains a lack of consensus on which congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio values have the best predictive value because of operator dependence, inherent changes in lung lesion size throughout gestation, and the widespread use of maternal steroids.This study sought to determine the association between serial congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio measurements and neonatal outcomes among fetuses with lung malformations.This was a retrospective cohort study of fetuses with a prenatally diagnosed lung malformation managed at 2 major fetal centers from January 2010 to December 2021. Prenatal variables, including prospectively measured congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio measurements (initial, maximum, and final), were analyzed. The results were correlated with 3 outcome measures, namely surgical resection before 30 days of life, a need for supplemental O2 at birth, and endotracheal intubation at birth. Statistical analyses were performed using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, Welch 2 sample t tests, and multivariable logistic regressions (P<.05).There were 123 fetuses with isolated lung lesions identified. Eight (6.5%) had hydrops. The mean initial congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio was 0.67±0.61 cm2 at 22.9±3.9 weeks' gestation. The mean maximum congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio was 1.08 ± 0.94 cm2 at 27.0 ± 4.0 weeks' gestation. The mean final congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio was 0.58±0.60 cm2 at 33.2±4.1 weeks' gestation. At a mean gestational age at delivery of 38.3±2.6 weeks, 15 (12.2%) underwent neonatal lung resection for symptomatic disease. In a multivariable regression, all 3 congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio measurements showed a significant correlation with neonatal lung resection (P<.001). Optimal congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio cutoffs were established based on an initial congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio of ≥0.8 cm2, maximum congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio of ≥1.5 cm2, and a final congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio of ≥1.3 cm2 with associated areas under the curve of 0.89, 0.97, and 0.93, respectively. The final congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio had the highest specificity for predicting surgical lung resection in the early postnatal period.Measuring congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratios throughout pregnancy in fetuses with pulmonary malformations has clinical value for prenatal counseling and planning care transition after delivery. Fetuses with a final congenital pulmonary airway malformation volume ratio of more than 1.3 cm2 are likely to require neonatal surgery and therefore should be delivered at tertiary care centers with a neonatal intensive care unit and pediatric surgical expertise.