A global analysis of nearshore and submarine springs: Spatial distribution, controlling factors, and probability of presence

Coastal springs act as bi-directionally preferential flow paths between coastal aquifers and oceans. While these springs can supply coastal ecosystems with nutrients, they also present vulnerabilities such as contamination and seawater intrusion. Despite their significance, substantial knowledge gaps exist regarding coastal springs due to their complex hydrogeological nature. This study provides a comprehensive global assessment of coastal springs, focusing on their distribution, controlling factors, and likelihood of occurrence. A global dataset of known coastal springs was compiled and analyzed, revealing 66 % of identified springs in the Mediterranean region, mainly linked to karst systems. In contrast, fewer springs were noted in Africa, South America, and South Asia. Key factors influencing spring occurrence were examined using geostatistical methods and integrated into a multi-criteria decision-making framework to develop a Coastal Spring Probability Index (CSPI) along coastline. High-potential areas for coastal springs were identified in regions characterized by significant carbonate and volcanic rock formations, wetter climates, and active tectonic margins, such as southern Europe, the Caribbean, tropical islands, and eastern Asia. Conversely, regions with dry climates and high water demand, such as North Africa and South America, exhibited a lower likelihood of spring presence. These findings will serve as a baseline for local-scale studies and aimed at improving coastal spring inventories and establishing monitoring networks. It will contribute to vulnerability assessment studies, thereby enhancing the management of coastal groundwater resources. The study emphasizes the importance of multidisciplinary approaches to understand coastal spring dynamics and advocates for a strategic planning in groundwater management and conservation. The study emphasizes the importance of multidisciplinary approaches to understand coastal spring dynamics and advocates for strategic planning in groundwater management and conservation. Ongoing efforts to inventory and monitor coastal springs, coupled with targeted conservation measures, are essential for ensuring the long-term sustainability of coastal water resources and ecosystems.