Analysis of prognostic factors in advanced pancreatic cancer (APDAC) patients (pts) undergoing to first-line nab-paclitaxel (Nab-P) and gemcitabine (G) treatment.

412 Background: Nab-P + G combination represents an optimal first line therapeutic option in APDAC. Actually we have no parameters to predict prognosis in pts receiving this regimen. Here we present data of a multicentre retrospective analysis evaluating prognostic impact of clinical or biological factors in a cohort of APDAC pts treated with Nab-P + G first line CT. Methods: Clinical records of 118 APDAC pts receiving first line Nab-P + G were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were evaluated with Kaplan Meier method with 95% CI and curves were compared with log-rank test. Cox-regression model was applied to the data with univariate and multivariate approach. Variables included in analysis were age, gender, ECOG PS, primary tumor site, liver metastases, multiple metastatic sites, baseline CA19-9, bilirubin levels, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), CA19-9 decrease > 50%, biliary stent and symptomatic disease. Results: Median age was 66 (37 - 83), M/F:65/53, ECOG PS 0/1/2: 51/46/21 respectively. 4 complete and 27 partial responses were observed with 26% response rate (RR). Median OS and PFS were 11 months (95% CI 9.58 – 12.41) and 7 months ( 95% CI 5.96 – 8.03) respectively. When considered at univariate analysis primary tumor location to the head, ECOG PS of 2, bilirubin levels higher than median and NLR ≥ 5 had a bad prognostic impact both on PFS and OS. Differently, CA19-9 decrease > 50% was considered a positive prognostic factor for PFS and OS. Multivariate analysis confirmed the negative role of NLR ≥ 5 respect of PFS (HR 3.21; 95%CI 1.61 – 5.68, p = 0.002) and OS (HR 3.38; 95%CI 1.88 – 5.79, p = 0.001) and positive impact of CA19-9 decrease > 50% on PFS (HR 0.37; 95% CI 0.11 – 0.68, p=0.006) and OS (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.15 – 0.97, p=0.005), as independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: This analysis suggest that in APDAC pts receiving first line Nab-P + G, high NLR value (≥5) could be considered an easy detectable, independent parameter to predict poor outcomes in terms of PFS and OS. Furthermore CA19-9 reduction > 50% from baseline may be, in absence of other clinical and molecular parameters, an early marker of good prognosis.