Prediction of soccer clubs’ league rankings by machine learning methods: The case of Turkish Super League

均方误差 联盟 机器学习 土耳其 人工智能 统计 数学 人工神经网络 计算机科学 工程类 天文 语言学 物理 哲学
作者
Abdullah Erdal Tümer,Zeki Akyıldız,Aytek Hikmet Güler,Esat Kaan Saka,Riccardo Ievoli,Lucio Palazzo,Filipe Manuel Clemente
出处
期刊:Proceedings Of The Institution Of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal Of Sports Engineering And Technology [SAGE]
卷期号:: 175433712211404-175433712211404 被引量:1
标识
DOI:10.1177/17543371221140492
摘要

The aim of this research is to predict league rankings through various machine learning models using technical and physical parameters. This study followed a longitudinal observational analytical design. The SENTIO Sports optical tracking system was used to measure the physical demands and technical practices of the players in all matches. Then, the data regarding the last three seasons of the Turkish Super League (2015–2016, 2016−2017, and 2017−2018), was collected. In this research, league rankings were estimated using three machine learning methods: Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Radial Basis Function (RBFN), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) with technical and physical parameters of all seasons. Performances were evaluated through R 2 , Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Prediction results of the models are the following: ANN Model; R 2 = 0.60, RMSE = 3.7855 and MAE = 2.9139, RBFN Model; R 2 = 0.26, MAE = 3.6292 and RMSE = 4.5168, MLR Model; R 2 = 0.46, MAE = 3.4859 and RMSE = 4.2064. These results showed that ANN can be used as a successful tool to predict league rankings. In the light of this research, coaches and athletic trainers can organize their training in a way that affects the technical and physical parameters to change the results of the competition. Thus, it will be possible for teams to have a better place in the league-end success ranking.
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