Improving Prognostication in Pulmonary Hypertension Using AI-quantified Fibrosis and Radiologic Severity Scoring at Baseline CT

Background There is clinical need to better quantify lung disease severity in pulmonary hypertension (PH), particularly in idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) and PH associated with lung disease (PH-LD). Purpose To quantify fibrosis on CT pulmonary angiograms using an artificial intelligence (AI) model and to assess whether this approach can be used in combination with radiologic scoring to predict survival. Materials and Methods This retrospective multicenter study included adult patients with IPAH or PH-LD who underwent incidental CT imaging between February 2007 and January 2019. Patients were divided into training and test cohorts based on the institution of imaging. The test cohort included imaging examinations performed in 37 external hospitals. Fibrosis was quantified using an established AI model and radiologically scored by radiologists. Multivariable Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, World Health Organization functional class, pulmonary vascular resistance, and diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide was performed. The performance of predictive models with or without AI-quantified fibrosis was assessed using the concordance index (C index). Results The training and test cohorts included 275 (median age, 68 years [IQR, 60–75 years]; 128 women) and 246 (median age, 65 years [IQR, 51–72 years]; 142 women) patients, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that AI-quantified percentage of fibrosis was associated with an increased risk of patient mortality in the training cohort (hazard ratio, 1.01 [95% CI: 1.00, 1.02]; P = .04). This finding was validated in the external test cohort (C index, 0.76). The model combining AI-quantified fibrosis and radiologic scoring showed improved performance for predicting patient mortality compared with a model including radiologic scoring alone (C index, 0.67 vs 0.61; P < .001). Conclusion Percentage of lung fibrosis quantified on CT pulmonary angiograms by an AI model was associated with increased risk of mortality and showed improved performance for predicting patient survival when used in combination with radiologic severity scoring compared with radiologic scoring alone. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.