Clinical impact of pancreatic steatosis measured by CT on the risk of post-ERCP pancreatitis: a multicenter prospective trial

Background and Aims

Pancreatic steatosis (PS) may be a risk factor for acute pancreatitis. Whether it is also a risk factor for post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) has not been evaluated. This study aimed to determine the impact of PS on PEP development.

Methods

This multicenter prospective trial enrolled 786 consecutive patients who underwent contrast-enhanced abdominal CT and subsequent first-time ERCP. PS was evaluated based on pancreatic attenuation on unenhanced CT images. The risk of PS for the development of PEP was evaluated using a logistic regression model.

Results

Of 527 patients included in the study, 157 (29.8%) had PS and 370 (70.2%) did not. At 24 hours after ERCP, there was a significant difference in the PEP identified in 22 patients (14.0%) in the PS group and 23 patients (6.2%) in the "no PS" (NPS) group (P = .017). Diabetes and hypertension were more common in the PS group than in the NPS group; no differences in dyslipidemia were found. Patients with PS had a higher risk for the development of PEP than those with NPS (odds ratio, 2.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-4.03). No other variables were identified as risk factors for PEP.

Conclusions

PS is a significant risk factor for PEP for which preventive measures should be considered. Standardized measurement protocols to assess PS by CT are needed. (Clinical trial registration number: KCT0006068.)