AI-Based Protein Structure Prediction in Drug Discovery: Impacts and Challenges

Proteins are the molecular machinery of the human body, and their malfunctioning is often responsible for diseases, making them crucial targets for drug discovery. The three-dimensional structure of a protein determines its biological function, its conformational state determines substrates, cofactors, and protein binding. Rational drug discovery employs engineered small molecules to selectively interact with proteins to modulate their function. To selectively target a protein and to design small molecules, knowing the protein structure with all its specific conformation is critical. Unfortunately, for a large number of proteins relevant for drug discovery, the three-dimensional structure has not yet been experimentally solved. Therefore, accurately predicting their structure based on their amino acid sequence is one of the grant challenges in biology. Recently, AlphaFold2, a machine learning application based on a deep neural network, was able to predict unknown structures of proteins with an unprecedented accuracy. Despite the impressive progress made by AlphaFold2, nature still challenges the field of structure prediction. In this Perspective, we explore how AlphaFold2 and related methods help make drug design more efficient. Furthermore, we discuss the roles of predicting domain–domain orientations, all relevant conformational states, the influence of posttranslational modifications, and conformational changes due to protein binding partners. We highlight where further improvements are needed for advanced machine learning methods to be successfully and frequently used in the pharmaceutical industry.