Inflammatory Biomarkers Are Inaccurate Indicators of Bacterial Infection on Admission in Patients With Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease—A Systematic Review and Diagnostic Accuracy Network Meta-Analysis

Introduction: The value of inflammatory biomarkers in the diagnosis of bacterial infection induced acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is currently unclear. Our objective was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of on-admission inflammatory biomarkers in differentiating bacterial origin in AECOPD. Methods: Systematic literature search was performed to include cross-sectional studies on AECOPD patients with microbiological culture results as gold standard, and at least one on-admission inflammatory biomarker determined from serum: C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, eosinophil percentage, CD64index; or sputum: neutrophil elastase, tumor necrosis factor alfa, interleukin-1-beta (IL-1b), interleukin-8, sputum color, as index tests. We ranked index tests by superiority indices in a network meta-analysis and also calculated pooled sensitivity and specificity. Results: Altogether, 21 eligible articles reported data on 2,608 AECOPD patients (44% bacterial). Out of the 14 index tests, sputum IL-1b showed the highest diagnostic performance with a pooled sensitivity of 74% (CI: 26–97%) and specificity of 65% (CI: 19–93%). Pooled sensitivity for CRP and PCT were: 67% (CI: 54–77%) and 54% (CI: 39–69%); specificity 62% (CI: 52–71%) and 71% (CI: 59–79%), respectively. Conclusion: Admission inflammatory biomarkers are inaccurate indicators of bacterial infection in AECOPD. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/#myprospero , identifier: 42020161301.