Baseline 18F-FDG PET radiomic features as predictors of 2-year event-free survival in diffuse large B cell lymphomas treated with immunochemotherapy

To explore the prognostic value of positron emission tomography (PET) radiomic features in the field of diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with a first-line immunochemotherapy. One-hundred thirty-two patients newly diagnosed with DLBCL were retrospectively included. PET studies were reconstructed using an ordered subset expectation maximisation algorithm with point spread function modelling. The total metabolic tumour volume (MTV) was recorded for each patient, and the volume of interest structure of the largest target lesion was used to compute 18F-FDG textural parameters. Data was randomly split into training and validation datasets. Optimal cutoff values were determined by means of 2-year event-free survival (EFS) ROC analyses. Two-year EFS analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and univariable and multivariable Cox regression models. The median follow-up was 27 months, and the 2-year event-free survival (2y-EFS) was 77.3% in the entire population. ROC analyses for the 2y-EFS reached statistical significance for total MTV as well as four second-order metrics (homogeneity, contrast, correlation, dissimilarity) and five third-order metrics (LZE (Long-Zone Emphasis), LZLGE (Long-Zone Low-Grey Level Emphasis), LZHGE (Long-Zone High-Grey Level Emphasis), GLNU (Grey-Level Non-Uniformity) and ZP (Zone Percentage)). LZHGE displayed the highest ROC analysis accuracy (acc. = 0.76) and the best discriminant value on univariable Kaplan-Meier analysis (p < 0.0001, HR = 4.54). On multivariable analysis, including IPIaa, total MTV and LZHGE, LZHGE was the only independent predictor of 2y-EFS. These results were confirmed on the validation dataset. Baseline 18F-FDG PET heterogeneity of the largest lymphoma lesion is a promising predictor of 2y-EFS in newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with immunochemotherapy. • 18 F-FDG metabolic heterogeneity emerges as a new tool for survival prognostication of patients and has been explored in many solid tumours with promising results. • Baseline18F-FDG PET heterogeneity of the largest lymphoma lesion is an independent predictor of 2y-EFS in newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with immunochemotherapy. • DLBCL patients presenting with a heterogeneous tumour displayed a worse prognosis.