干旱
水资源
黄土高原
水资源管理
环境科学
缺水
供求关系
资源配置
供水
资源(消歧)
经济短缺
环境经济学
农业工程
自然资源经济学
环境工程
计算机科学
经济
工程类
地质学
微观经济学
古生物学
生态学
计算机网络
语言学
哲学
政府(语言学)
土壤科学
生物
作者
Yuemeng Wang,Shuyu Zhang,Hongwei Huang,Lizhen Wang,Xinxueqi Han,Nana Zhao,Xining Zhao,Yong Zhao,Xuerui Gao
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101503
摘要
The Yulin Region in the Northern China. There is an urgent need to balance supply and demand in respond to water shortages in arid and semi-arid areas. A new water-adaptable allocation framework is used to simulate different allocation scenarios. Firstly, the supply-demand was analyzed to determine whether an imbalance existed. Then, the structure of grain and energy of Yulin was optimized. In order to produce new water-adaptable boundary of industry demand. Finally, the allocation of water resources was optimized based on the target of minimizing the water shortage rate. The new scheme results highlight that by 2025, it is predicted that in a BAU (business as usual) scenario, there will be an imbalance between the water supply and water demand in Yulin Region. Following the optimization of the grain and energy industrial structure (GES), and the WAS (water allocation and simulation) model used to create a water resources allocation scheme and tested its applicability using two rainfall guarantee rates scenarios, it was determined that the total water demand established for the both scenarios decreased, and the economic benefit increased by 12.43 %. Also, 87.41∼99.93 % of potable water is satisfied to the initial water needs.
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