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Global prevalence and burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis from 1990 to 2019

肺结核 医学 流行病学 置信区间 公共卫生 疾病负担 环境卫生 全球卫生 疾病负担 人口学 人口 入射(几何) 热带医学 老年学 内科学 病理 物理 社会学 光学
作者
Hongzhi Lv,Xin Zhang,Xueli Zhang,Jiuxu Bai,Shoujiang You,Li Xuan,Shenlong Li,Yong Wang,Wenyi Zhang,Yuanyong Xu
出处
期刊:BMC Infectious Diseases [Springer Nature]
卷期号:24 (1)
标识
DOI:10.1186/s12879-024-09079-5
摘要

Abstract Background Tuberculosis(TB) remains a pressing public health challenge, with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) emerging as a major threat. And healthcare authorities require reliable epidemiological evidence as a crucial reference to address this issue effectively. The aim was to offer a comprehensive epidemiological assessment of the global prevalence and burden of MDR-TB from 1990 to 2019. Methods Estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASR of DALYs), and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of MDR-TB were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database. The prevalence and burden of MDR-TB in 2019 were illustrated in the population and regional distribution. Temporal trends were analyzed by using Joinpoint regression analysis to calculate the annual percentage change (APC), average annual percentage change (AAPC) and its 95% confidence interval( CI ). Results The estimates of the number of cases were 687,839(95% UIs: 365,512 to 1223,262), the ASPR were 8.26 per 100,000 (95%UIs: 4.61 to 15.20), the ASR of DALYs were 52.38 per 100,000 (95%UIs: 22.64 to 97.60) and the ASDR were 1.36 per 100,000 (95%UIs: 0.54 to 2.59) of MDR-TB at global in 2019. Substantial burden was observed in Africa and Southeast Asia. Males exhibited higher ASPR, ASR of DALYs, and ASDR than females across most age groups, with the burden of MDR-TB increasing with age. Additionally, significant increases were observed globally in the ASIR (AAPC = 5.8; 95% CI : 5.4 to 6.1; P < 0.001), ASPR (AAPC = 5.9; 95% CI : 5.4 to 6.4; P < 0.001), ASR of DALYs (AAPC = 4.6; 95% CI : 4.2 to 5.0; P < 0.001) and ASDR (AAPC = 4.4; 95% CI : 4.0 to 4.8; P < 0.001) of MDR-TB from 1990 to 2019. Conclusions This study underscored the persistent threat of drug-resistant tuberculosis to public health. It is imperative that countries and organizations worldwide take immediate and concerted action to implement measures aimed at significantly reducing the burden of TB.
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