奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程
布鲁氏菌病
过程(计算)
功能(生物学)
应用数学
统计物理学
动力学(音乐)
数学
随机过程
计算机科学
医学
物理
统计
生物
病毒学
进化生物学
声学
操作系统
作者
Buyu Wen,Zhidong Teng,Linfei Nie,Zhiming Li,Hong Cao
标识
DOI:10.1142/s179352452450164x
摘要
A stochastic SEIW brucellosis model with Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is investigated. In the model, we consider some of the realities of brucellosis transmission, such as the existence of incubation period and environmental pathogen contamination, and the spread of brucellosis also in incubation period and contaminated environment. The threshold values [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] for the stochastic extinction of the disease and the existence of a stationary distribution are established. Specifically, if [Formula: see text], then brucellosis almost surely exponentially dies out; otherwise, if [Formula: see text], then brucellosis is persistent in the mean, and the model also has ergodic property and at least one stationary distribution. Furthermore, when [Formula: see text], where [Formula: see text] is the basic reproduction number of the corresponding deterministic model, the specific expression of an approximate normal density function around quasi-positive equilibrium is calculated. Finally, numerical examples are presented to illustrate the theoretical results, discuss the change of [Formula: see text] with the main parameters [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] and examine the relationship between [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. The specific expression of the marginal probability density function is obtained through a numerical simulation. The numerical simulation indicates that, in the real world, environmental interference may promote the spread of brucellosis.
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