Pediatric Efficacy Extrapolation in Drug Development Submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration 2015–2020

Abstract Pediatric extrapolation plays a key role in the availability of reliable pediatric use information in approved drug labeling. This review examined the use of pediatric extrapolation in studies submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration and assessed changes in extrapolation approaches over time. Pediatric studies of 125 drugs submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration that led to subsequent pediatric information in drug labeling between 2015 and 2020 were reviewed. The use of pediatric extrapolation for each drug was identified and categorized as “complete,” “partial,” or “no” extrapolation. Approaches to pediatric extrapolation of efficacy changed over time. Complete extrapolation of efficacy was the predominantly used approach. “Complete,” “partial,” or “no” extrapolation was used for 51%, 23%, and 26% of the drugs, respectively. This represents a shift in extrapolation approaches when compared to a previous study that evaluated pediatrics drug applications between 2009 and 2014, which found complete, partial, or no extrapolation was used for 34%, 29%, and 37% of the drugs, respectively. Pediatric extrapolation approaches may continue to shift as emerging science fills gap in knowledge of the fundamental assumptions underlying this scientific tool. The international community continues to collaborate on discussions of pediatric extrapolation of efficacy from adults and other pediatric subpopulations to optimize its use for pediatric drug development.