奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程
均值回归
数学
正确性
随机过程
持久性(不连续性)
流行病模型
应用数学
随机建模
统计物理学
统计
医学
物理
算法
人口
岩土工程
环境卫生
工程类
作者
Aziz Laaribi,Brahim Boukanjime,Mohamed El Khalifi,Driss Bouggar,Mohamed El Fatini
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2023.128609
摘要
The aim of this work is to study a new stochastic SIRS epidemic model that includes the mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process and a general incidence rate. First, we prove the global existence and positivity of the solution by using Lyapunov functions. Second, we analytically make out the stochastic epidemic threshold T̃0S which pilots the extinction and persistence in mean of the disease. We have proven that the disease extinguishes when T̃0S<1. Otherwise, if T̃0S>1, then disease is persistent in mean. For the critical case T̃0S=1, we have shown that the disease dies out by using an approach involving some appropriate stopping times. Finally, we present a series of numerical simulations to confirm the feasibility and correctness of the theoretical analysis results.
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