Lifetime prediction of a polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell via an accelerated startup–shutdown cycle test

To expand commercial applications of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), the evaluation time for their durability must be shortened. This article provides a straightforward accelerated degradation testing (ADT) procedure for PEMFC for easy and quick implementation of the procedure. The ADT procedure includes statistical modeling of degradation patterns of membrane electrode assemblies (MEAs) in PEMFCs under startup–shutdown cycling conditions. For this purpose, we propose a nonparametric degradation model to describe the nonlinear performance degradation paths of PEMFC MEAs. The analysis results indicate that the nonparametric approach provides more accurate estimates of the observed degradation data than other parametric approaches. Based on the nonparametric degradation model, we suggest a method to predict failure-times under normal operating conditions by estimating the time-scale factor under accelerated operating conditions.