Prognostic Implications of Urinary Potassium to Creatinine Ratio in Patients With Predialysis Chronic Kidney Disease: A Cohort Study

Objectives Although a low or high serum potassium level in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with worsening renal function and increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, urinary potassium excretion has been found to predict adverse health outcomes with conflicting results. We conducted a cohort study to determine whether urinary potassium to creatinine (K/Cr) ratio is an independent risk for further deterioration in renal function or increased CVD events. Methods We identified 650 predialysis patients with CKD hospitalized for an educational program regarding CKD between January 2010 and December 2018. The study outcomes were CKD progression and incident CVD events, with baseline urinary K/Cr ratio categorized into quartiles—Q1, < 19.8; Q2, 19.9-27.7; Q3, 27.8-37.9; and Q4, > 38.0. Results During follow-up (median, 35 months), 509 CKD progressions and 129 incident CVD events were identified. Sixty two patients died during follow-up. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that after adjustment for demographic factors and laboratory data, patients in Q1 had a 2.02-fold higher risk of worsening renal function than those in Q4 (95% confidence interval, 1.50-2.71; P < .001), whereas urinary K/Cr ratio had no association with the incidence of CVD events. Similarly, inverse probability weighting analysis showed an increased risk of CKD progression in the lowest quartile. Furthermore, the association between low fractional excretion of potassium and worsening renal function was confirmed. Conclusion A low urinary K/Cr ratio is independently associated with worsening renal function but not with a risk of incident CVD event in predialysis patients with CKD. Although a low or high serum potassium level in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with worsening renal function and increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, urinary potassium excretion has been found to predict adverse health outcomes with conflicting results. We conducted a cohort study to determine whether urinary potassium to creatinine (K/Cr) ratio is an independent risk for further deterioration in renal function or increased CVD events. We identified 650 predialysis patients with CKD hospitalized for an educational program regarding CKD between January 2010 and December 2018. The study outcomes were CKD progression and incident CVD events, with baseline urinary K/Cr ratio categorized into quartiles—Q1, < 19.8; Q2, 19.9-27.7; Q3, 27.8-37.9; and Q4, > 38.0. During follow-up (median, 35 months), 509 CKD progressions and 129 incident CVD events were identified. Sixty two patients died during follow-up. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that after adjustment for demographic factors and laboratory data, patients in Q1 had a 2.02-fold higher risk of worsening renal function than those in Q4 (95% confidence interval, 1.50-2.71; P < .001), whereas urinary K/Cr ratio had no association with the incidence of CVD events. Similarly, inverse probability weighting analysis showed an increased risk of CKD progression in the lowest quartile. Furthermore, the association between low fractional excretion of potassium and worsening renal function was confirmed. A low urinary K/Cr ratio is independently associated with worsening renal function but not with a risk of incident CVD event in predialysis patients with CKD.