Maternal urine phthalate metabolite exposure and miscarriage risk: a nested case–control study of the Zunyi Birth Cohort

Phthalates (PAEs) are widespread persistent organic pollutants and endocrine disruptors. However, the associations between PAE exposure and the risk of miscarriage in humans are unclear, and an insufficient number of studies have evaluated the possible threshold or dose-dependent effects of first trimester PAE exposure on miscarriage risk. Our research measured the levels of mono-methyl phthalate (MMP), mono-ethyl phthalate, mono-isobutyl phthalate, MiBP mono-butyl phthalate (MBP), mono-octyl phthalate, mono-benzyl phthalate, mono(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate, mono(2-ethyl-5-oxohexyl) phthalate, and mono(2-ethyl-5-hydroxyhexyl) phthalate (MEHHP) in maternal urine collected in early gestation between 150 pregnancies ending in miscarriage and 150 pregnancies with live birth. We also estimated the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for miscarriage and each PAE as a continuous variable or quartile. A restrictive cubic splines was used to assess dose-dependent effects after controlling for maternal characteristics (e.g., age, educational level). we identified monotonically increasing dose-dependent effects of MEHHP and MMP on the risk of miscarriage. The largest effect estimates were approximately threefold higher for the highest MBP (OR = 2.57; 95% CI = 1.32-5.01) or MMP quartile (OR = 3.57; 95% CI = 1.82-7.00) and two-fold higher for the highest MEHHP quartile (OR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.10-4.11). Our research preliminarily obtained possible thresholds of MBP, MEHHP, and MMP which were 18.07, 2.38, and 0.80 µg/g Cr for the risk of miscarriage, respectively. First-trimester exposure to MBP, MEHHP, and MMP exceeding certain thresholds increases the risk of miscarriage.