医学
分级(工程)
逻辑回归
腹腔镜胆囊切除术
人口统计学的
多元分析
多元统计
计分系统
胆囊切除术
急性胆囊炎
外科
内科学
统计
土木工程
工程类
人口学
数学
社会学
作者
Kohei Mishima,Yoshiki Fujiyama,Taiga Wakabayashi,Atsuko Tsutsui,Nobuhiko Okamoto,Jacques Marescaux,Yuko Kitagawa,Go Wakabayashi
出处
期刊:Hpb
[Elsevier BV]
日期:2023-12-12
卷期号:26 (3): 426-435
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.hpb.2023.12.002
摘要
Early laparoscopic cholecystectomy (ELC) is the standard treatment for acute cholecystitis (AC). However, predicting the difficulty of this procedure remains challenging. The present study aimed to develop an improved prediction model for surgical difficulty during ELC, surpassing the current Tokyo Guidelines 2018 (TG18) grading system.We analyzed data from 201 consecutive patients who underwent ELC for AC between 2019 and 2021. Surgical difficulty was defined as the failure to achieve the critical view of safety (non-CVS). We developed a scoring system by conducting multivariate analysis on demographics, symptoms, laboratory data, and radiographic findings. The predictive accuracy of our scoring system was compared to that of the TG18 grading system (Grade I vs. Grade II/III).Through multivariate logistic regression analysis, a novel scoring system was formulated. This system incorporated preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) values (≥5: 1 pt, ≥10: 2 pts, ≥15: 3 pts) and TG18 grading score (duration >72 h: 1 pt, image criteria for Grade II AC: 1 pt). Our model, a cutoff score of ≥3, exhibited a significantly elevated area under the curve (AUC) of 0.721 compared to the TG18 grading system alone (AUC 0.609) (p = 0.001).Combining preoperative CRP values with TG18 grading criteria can enhance the accuracy of predicting intraoperative difficulty in ELC for AC.
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