Computed tomography imaging features to evaluate the severity of portal hypertension and predict the rebleeding risk after endoscopic treatment in cirrhotic patients with variceal hemorrhage

To investigate the association of computed tomography (CT) imaging features and severity of portal hypertension (PH) and develop a nomogram to predict high-risk PH in cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal variceal hemorrhage (GVH).The study retrospectively enrolled 158 cirrhotic patients with a history of endoscopic treatment for GVH. Hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) was measured and the patients were classified into high-risk (HVPG > 16 mmHg) or low-risk (HVPG ≤ 16 mmHg) PH group. Pre-treatment CT features, including cavernous transformation of portal vein (CTPV), hilar periportal space (a distance between right portal vein and posterior edge of segment IV of the liver), and depth of right posterior hepatic notch sign (a sharp indentation in the right medial posterior liver surface), were evaluated. Risk factors associated with high-risk PH were analyzed, and a nomogram based on the imaging features was developed.High-risk PH group showed a higher rebleeding rate after treatment than that of the low-risk (P = 0.029). Multivariate analysis indicated that larger hilar periportal space (P < 0.001), less frequencies of CTPV (P = 0.044) and deeper right posterior hepatic notch (P < 0.001) were independent risk factors associated with high-risk PH. A nomogram based on the three CT imaging features was established to predict high-risk PH with an excellent discrimination (c-statistic 0.854).The nomogram based on CT features of hilar periportal space, depth of right posterior hepatic notch and CTPV can help to distinguish cirrhotic patients with high-risk PH, who are more vulnerable of variceal rebleeding after endoscopic treatment.