信息和通信技术
持续性
绿色计算
欧盟委员会
温室气体
系统动力学
环境经济学
实证研究
佣金
计算机科学
环境资源管理
业务
工程类
经济
欧洲联盟
数学
国际贸易
能源消耗
统计
电气工程
人工智能
万维网
财务
生物
生态学
作者
Mohammad Ahmadi Achachlouei,Lorenz M. Hilty
出处
期刊:Advances in intelligent systems and computing
日期:2014-08-07
卷期号:: 449-474
被引量:15
标识
DOI:10.1007/978-3-319-09228-7_27
摘要
This chapter revisits a System Dynamics model developed in 2002 with the aim of exploring the future impacts of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on environmental sustainability in the EU, which then consisted of 15 countries. The time horizon of the study was 20 years (2000–2020). We analyze the results in light of empirical data that is now available for 2000–2012. None of the three scenarios that were developed by experts to specify the external factors needed to run the model were realistic from today’s point of view. If the model is re-run with more realistic input data for the first half of the simulation period, however, the main results regarding the impact of ICT remain qualitatively the same; they seem to be relatively robust implications of the causal system structure, as it is represented in the model. Overall, the impacts of ICT for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental burdens for 2020 tend to be slightly stronger if the simulation is based on the empirical data now available.
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