马尔科夫蒙特卡洛
无味变换
贝叶斯概率
计算机科学
采样(信号处理)
后验概率
大都会-黑斯廷斯算法
数学优化
算法
蒙特卡罗方法
有限元法
数学
人工智能
工程类
统计
卡尔曼滤波器
扩展卡尔曼滤波器
结构工程
移动视界估计
滤波器(信号处理)
计算机视觉
摘要
Finite element (FE) model updating is important and challenging. To address the issues of ill-conditioning and nonuniqueness, stochastic approaches have been developed for calibrating model parameters and associated uncertainties. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely used for stochastic model updating by providing a straightforward way to infer the posterior probability density function (PDF) using a sequence of random samples. However, the inherent nature relying on a large number of sampling points to approximate the posterior PDF of model parameters limits their application. In this paper, a Bayesian approach with unscented transform is investigated to perform stochastic model updating in a computational friendly way. Rather than using a large number of randomly chosen sampling points, the proposed approach selects a minimal set of sampling points to represent the PDF of model parameters. On the basis of the unscented transform, this approach effectively explores the distribution of measurements, from which model parameters and associated uncertainties are updated. Numerical simulation of a reinforced concrete beam is presented to show that the proposed approach can achieve similar model updating performance as the MCMC methods. The proposed Bayesian approach is further applied to update the FE model of a real-world cable-stayed bridge and provide quantitative assessment of the predication accuracy.
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