Intra- and peritumoral radiomics features based on multicenter automatic breast volume scanner for noninvasive and preoperative prediction of HER2 status in breast cancer: a model ensemble research

Abstract The aim to investigate the predictive efficacy of automatic breast volume scanner (ABVS), clinical and serological features alone or in combination at model level for predicting HER2 status. The model weighted combination method was developed to identify HER2 status compared with single data source model method and feature combination method. 271 patients with invasive breast cancer were included in the retrospective study, of which 174 patients in our center were randomized into the training and validation sets, and 97 patients in the external center were as the test set. Radiomics features extracted from the ABVS-based tumor, peritumoral 3 mm region, and peritumoral 5 mm region and clinical features were used to construct the four types of the optimal single data source models, Tumor, R3mm, R5mm, and Clinical model, respectively. Then, the model weighted combination and feature combination methods were performed to optimize the combination models. The proposed weighted combination models in predicting HER2 status achieved better performance both in validation set and test set. For the validation set, the single data source model, the feature combination model, and the weighted combination model achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.803 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.660–947), 0.739 (CI 0.556,0.921), and 0.826 (95% CI 0.689,0.962), respectively; with the sensitivity and specificity were 100%, 62.5%; 81.8%, 66.7%; 90.9%,75.0%; respectively. For the test set, the single data source model, the feature combination model, and the weighted combination model attained the best AUC of 0.695 (95% CI 0.583, 0.807), 0.668 (95% CI 0.555,0.782), and 0.700 (95% CI 0.590,0.811), respectively; with the sensitivity and specificity were 86.1%, 41.9%; 61.1%, 71.0%; 86.1%, 41.9%; respectively. The model weighted combination was a better method to construct a combination model. The optimized weighted combination models composed of ABVS-based intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features and clinical features may be potential biomarkers for the noninvasive and preoperative prediction of HER2 status in breast cancer.