New Histopathologic Risk Model for Early T-stage Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is treated based on the TNM staging. However, early T-stage OSCC still exhibits substantial nodal metastasis and death rates. Recent literature highlights the independent prognostic value of worst pattern of invasion (WPOI) and tumor budding in OSCC. Nevertheless, WPOI-5 is uncommon in early T-stage OSCC, and the definitions of tumor budding and WPOI-4 overlap. Moreover, WPOI assessment is subjective, and tumor budding evaluation varies across studies. To address these limitations, we aimed to develop a modified WPOI system and a novel tumor budding scoring system that assesses single cells and high-density tumor budding. We also evaluated a new histopathologic risk model for early T-stage OSCC. The study cohort comprised 37 pT1 and 64 pT2 OSCCs. The modified WPOI demonstrated superior interobserver agreement compared with the original system (κ value: 0.98 vs. 0.53). In the multivariate analysis, modified WPOI and tumor budding score were independent prognostic factors for nodal metastasis and disease-free survival, while modified WPOI predicted disease-specific survival. By integrating these factors, our risk model stratified the patients into 3 groups. Notably, the intermediate-risk and high-risk groups exhibited significantly higher rates of nodal metastasis, recurrence, and tumor-related death. Conversely, none in the low-risk group had nodal metastasis or succumbed to the disease. Our model offered simplified scoring and potentially improved prognostic predictions. In conclusion, we’ve developed a modified WPOI system, a new tumor budding scoring system, and a reliable risk model that classifies early T-stage OSCC patients into distinct risk groups with significant prognostic differences.